Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.013040 0.016004 0.019800 0.025158 0.032766 0.043594 0.061029
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.009126 0.012164 0.016573 0.023830 0.036387 0.059455 0.112548
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.007396 0.010386 0.015093 0.023721 0.041091 0.080865 0.213707
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.006440 0.009426 0.014448 0.024545 0.047913 0.115070 0.476202
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.005661 0.008543 0.013638 0.024651 0.053304 0.155153 1.134811
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.004929 0.007588 0.012449 0.023493 0.054757 0.186329 2.546119
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.004422 0.006937 0.011682 0.023004 0.057943 0.235510 9.166797
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.004171 0.006702 0.011676 0.024336 0.068408 0.369760 3794.815515
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.004020 0.006626 0.011975 0.026602 0.085331 0.696225 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003879 0.006542 0.012235 0.028913 0.106496 1.502887 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003627 0.006201 0.011838 0.029066 0.117302 2.624992 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.003409 0.005902 0.011488 0.029256 0.129420 5.218899 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.003059 0.005322 0.010436 0.026963 0.123829 6.696448 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002784 0.004875 0.009659 0.025465 0.123429 11.015914 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002603 0.004609 0.009290 0.025345 0.135023 42.753481 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002484 0.004461 0.009194 0.026248 0.159828 84576.588673 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002349 0.004261 0.008928 0.026364 0.178477 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002183 0.003976 0.008384 0.025094 0.177511 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002057 0.003771 0.008031 0.024558 0.186640 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.002003 0.003721 0.008105 0.026019 0.235207 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001975 0.003730 0.008352 0.028510 0.328461 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001944 0.003729 0.008568 0.031058 0.467894 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.001865 0.003602 0.008374 0.031228 0.540842 NaN NaN